| Source | NDA | RJD+ | JSP | OTH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axis My India | 121-141 | 98-118 | 0-2 | 1-5 |
| Today's Chanakya | 160 ± 12 | 77 ± 12 | 0 | 6 ± 3 |
| People's Insight | 133-148 | 87-102 | 0-2 | 3-6 |
| Peoples Pulse | 133-159 | 75-101 | 0-5 | 2-8 |
| Matrize | 147-167 | 70-90 | 0-2 | 2-8 |
| Polstrat | 133-148 | 87-102 | 0-0 | 3-5 |
| JVC's Poll | 135-150 | 88-103 | 0-1 | 3-6 |
| Kamakhya Analytics | 167-187 | 54-74 | 0-2 | 2-7 |
| Chanakya | 130-138 | 100-108 | 0-0 | 3-5 |
| TIF Research | 145-163 | 76-95 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| P-Marq | 142-162 | 80-98 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| DV Research | 137-152 | 83-98 | 2-4 | 1-8 |
| Praja Poll Analytics | 186 | 50 | 0 | 7 |
Exit polls are estimates based on surveys conducted after voting, where voters are asked which party or candidate they voted for. TV channels and survey agencies collect data outside polling stations based on samples. The results of exit polls are released only after voting concludes, as the Election Commission of India has clear guidelines regarding this. While exit polls help understand the electoral trends, they are not the final results. The real and decisive outcome is revealed only after the official counting of votes announced by the Election Commission.
1. What is an exit poll and how is it conducted?
Exit polls are surveys conducted outside polling stations. Survey agencies confidentially ask a few voters about whom they voted for, along with some additional questions.
2. What are the Election Commission’s guidelines on exit polls?
According to the Election Commission’s rules, no exit poll can be published or broadcast before voting concludes. The Commission decides the time for announcing such results.
3. Can exit polls be inaccurate?
Yes. Due to limited sample size, voter secrecy, social pressure, and calculation errors, exit polls may differ from the actual results.
4. Are exit polls and opinion polls the same?
No. Opinion polls are conducted before elections to gauge public opinion, whereas exit polls are carried out after voting.
5. What are the advantages and disadvantages of exit polls?
Advantages: Help in understanding voting trends and indicate the political direction.
Disadvantages: Possibility of sampling errors and the risk of influencing public perception.